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Analysis

How Well Does London Actually Know the Tube?

Since February 2026, 6,288 games of Mind the Map have generated 134,895 station guesses on a blank map of London. The results offer an unusually detailed view of which parts of the Underground people can actually place - and which they cannot.

134,895

Total guesses

Every pin drop from every game, tracked to the metre.

272

Stations

Every Underground station on the network, from Amersham to Upminster.

1,919 m

Average error

How far off the typical guess lands. Nearly two kilometres. London is bigger than you think.


The game is simple: you see a station name, you click where you think it is on a blank map. No tube lines, no labels. The players are self-selecting and likely more transport-aware than average, so this is not a representative sample of London. But with nearly 135,000 data points across all 272 stations, the patterns are consistent enough to be worth examining. Before the data, see how much you already know.

Test yourself

Most accurately located station?

Oxford Circus. 300 m average error - the most accurately placed station in the game. Players know that intersection by heart.

Least accurately located station?

Elm Park. 13.7 km average error. District line, Zone 6. Most players click somewhere near Stratford and call it a day.

Which pair gets swapped the most?

Euston Square and Warren Street. 1,234 swaps - the most confused pair in the dataset. They are 250 m apart on Euston Road.

Highest miss rate?

Alperton. 82.5% strike rate. Piccadilly line, Zone 4. Almost nobody gets within 2 km.

Chesham is in which zone?

Zone 9. It is in Buckinghamshire - the furthest station from central London on the entire network. Most players guess Zone 3-4.

Most confidently wrong station?

Finsbury Park. 282 fast, confident guesses that land 3+ km away. Players click near the Finsbury area by Old Street. The station is in Haringey.

What confidence looks like

Oxford Circus: 1,373 guesses, 300 m average error. Players click within a short walk of the actual entrance. Every red dot below is a guess.

Oxford Circus - 1,373 guesses, 300 m average error
Guess Actual station

Waterloo (311 m), Leicester Square (334 m), Covent Garden (347 m), Piccadilly Circus (359 m) - all within a few streets. These are places people navigate by foot, not by tube map.

What guesswork looks like

Elm Park. District line, Zone 6. Average guess: nearly 14 km away. Over three quarters of guesses are complete misses.

Oxford Circus - tight cluster
Guesses Actual
Elm Park - scattered everywhere
Guesses Actual

Chorleywood (12.3 km avg error), Eastcote (10.7 km), Moor Park (10.6 km) - outer stations the tube map compresses into a tidy diagram. Chorleywood is in Hertfordshire. Most players place it somewhere in north London.

The stations people swap

Some stations get swapped so consistently the data looks like a mirror. These are the pairs where players click on one station when asked about the other.

Euston Square and Warren Street - 1,234 swaps

The most confused pair in the entire dataset. 863 Warren Street guesses land on Euston Square. 371 go the other way. They are 250 m apart on Euston Road and players treat them as interchangeable.

Leicester Square and Piccadilly Circus - 266 swaps

Two of the most famous stations in London, 400 m apart. 159 Piccadilly Circus guesses land on Leicester Square. 107 go the other way. Players know the West End - they just cannot separate the two.

Leicester Square guesses
Guesses Leicester Sq Piccadilly
Piccadilly Circus guesses
Guesses Piccadilly Leicester Sq

The full leaderboard

PairTotal swaps
Euston Square / Warren Street1,234
Bank / Cannon Street1,092
Bayswater / Queensway720
Great Portland St / Regent's Park718
Baker Street / Regent's Park380
Euston / Euston Square345
Euston / Warren Street328
Edgware Road (Bak) / Edgware Road (Circle)312
Monument / Bank272
Leicester Sq / Piccadilly Circus266
Covent Garden / Leicester Square257
Temple / Blackfriars245
Mansion House / Cannon Street247
Embankment / Westminster240

The leaderboard suggests a few recurring triggers for confusion. Shared names account for many of the top pairs (Euston/Euston Square, the two Edgware Roads). Shared fame plays a role too - Leicester Square and Piccadilly Circus are both landmarks, but players blur their exact positions. And the Thames corridor stations from Temple to Bank consistently get shuffled along the river.

Confidently wrong

Some stations produce fast guesses - under 5 seconds - with terrible accuracy. Players are not uncertain. They are certain, and they are wrong.

Finsbury Park 282 confident wrong guesses, 3.5 km avg error. The name says "Finsbury" and players click near Finsbury - the area around Angel and Old Street. The station is 3 km north, in Haringey.
Holland Park 233 confident wrong guesses, 3.5 km avg error. Players click in Holland Park the park. The station is further west, near Shepherd's Bush.
Swiss Cottage 230 confident wrong guesses. The name is actually accurate - the station is in Swiss Cottage - but players consistently overshoot, clicking too far north or west.

Names that reference a place trigger fast, confident clicks in roughly the right area. But "roughly right" and "correct" can be separated by several kilometres.

Mobile vs desktop

Desktop players average 1,741 m error. Mobile: 2,038 m. Tablet: 2,120 m - a 17% penalty for smaller screens. Whether that reflects reduced precision from touch input or a different player demographic is unclear from the data alone.

The zone cliff

Average error increases nearly ninefold from Zone 1 to Zone 3-4. Players know the centre. Beyond that, guesswork takes over.

Average error by zone band
Zone 1 Core
483 m
Zone 1-2
1,017 m
Zone 2-3
2,302 m
Zone 3-4
4,273 m
Zone 5+
5,820 m

Strike rates tell a similar story, with one wrinkle. Zone 3-4 has the highest miss rate at 58.3%, but Zone 5+ actually drops back to 50.9%. Why? Likely because some well-known outer stations - Brixton, Heathrow, Epping, Cockfosters - are familiar enough to anchor guesses in the right area, even if the surrounding stations are unknown. The outer zones are not uniformly blank. They are patchy: a few landmarks in a sea of guesswork.

Strike rate by zone band (% of guesses over 2 km off)
Zone 1 Core
31.7%
Zone 1-2
39.6%
Zone 2-3
49.0%
Zone 3-4
58.3%
Zone 5+
50.9%

What predicts accuracy?

Zone matters, but it is not the only factor. Major interchanges - stations where multiple lines meet - average 602 m error, compared to 2,141 m for other stations. Being a transport hub makes a station a landmark, regardless of zone.

The overall distribution is heavily skewed. 56.5% of all guesses land within 200 m. Another 8% land between 500 m and 1 km. But 5.1% of guesses are over 10 km off, and those outliers drag the average up to 1,919 m despite a median of just 98 m. Most players are reasonably good at most stations. A small number of outer-zone stations generate enormous errors that distort the headline figure.


Readers who want to test themselves can try Mind the Map here.

Sources & methodology
  1. All data from Mind the Map on tubenotifications.co.uk. 134,895 guesses across 6,288 games played between 27 February and 2 April 2026.
  2. 272 London Underground stations. All station positions from TfL open data.
  3. "Strike" defined as a guess landing more than 2 km from the actual station location.
  4. "Confident wrong" defined as guesses submitted in under 5 seconds with an error exceeding 1 km.
  5. "Confusion pair" proximity defined as a guess landing within 400 m of the other station in the pair.
  6. Device type inferred from screen width at time of play (mobile: under 768 px, tablet: 768-1024 px, desktop: over 1024 px).
About Tube Alerter

Tube Alerter publishes data-led analysis on London transport, alongside disruption alerts for commuters on the Underground, Overground, DLR and Elizabeth line.

This article is regularly updated as new data comes in from Mind the Map. Send us a tip if you spot something we should include.